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Forex multi-account manager Z-X-N
Accepts global forex account operation, investment, and trading
Assists family office investment and autonomous management

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In two-way foreign exchange trading, traders often face market uncertainty; it's a normal part of their work.

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However, trying to find certainty in a market lacking certainty is often a misguided approach. In reality, only by applying a probabilistic mindset can one effectively navigate uncertainty, and thus, all uncontrollable risks. The only certainty in the foreign exchange market lies in its uncertainty itself, and adopting a light-weight, long-term trading strategy is an effective way to manage this uncertainty.
Forex, as a trading instrument, is characterized by low risk, low returns, and high levels of consolidation, making short-term trading difficult to achieve success. Because the foreign exchange market rarely exhibits clear trends, instead remaining in a state of intense consolidation, exhibiting both upward and downward trends, forex traders need to be patient and adopt a long-term, light-weight strategy. Specifically, they should gradually build, increase, and accumulate positions in the direction of the trend, repeating this simple yet effective strategy. Furthermore, combining carry investment strategies may further enhance trading effectiveness.

In the strategic selection framework for forex trading, "prioritizing long-term investments and cautiously avoiding short-term trading" is not a subjective preference; rather, it's a rational decision based on the operating principles of the forex market, trading profit logic, and risk-return ratios.

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For most forex traders, long-term strategies not only better accommodate the volatility of the forex market but also smooth out short-term uncertainty over time, reducing transaction costs and increasing return stability. Short-term trading, however, becomes a "profit trap" that many traders struggle to break free of due to market constraints, low profit probabilities, and high operational difficulty.
In forex trading, the percentage of traders who achieve substantial profits through short-term trading is extremely low. Industry data shows that less than one in 100,000 can consistently expand their account size through short-term trading. This statistic reflects the inherent difficulty of short-term trading.
From a trading perspective, the shorter the trading cycle (such as intraday and ultra-short-term trading), the more difficult it is to achieve profitability. The core reason for this is that the profit logic of short-term trading relies heavily on "capturing short-term price fluctuations." However, short-term fluctuations in the foreign exchange market are highly random, influenced by factors such as liquidity shocks, high-frequency trading algorithms, and market sentiment noise. These fluctuations are difficult to accurately predict through technical analysis or fundamental logic. Even if traders occasionally achieve short-term profits, they can easily fall into overtrading due to "survivorship bias" in subsequent operations, ultimately eroding their profits through large single losses or accumulated transaction costs.
More importantly, if traders prioritize short-term trading when building their trading systems, they are essentially choosing a "hellish" trading start. First, short-term trading requires extremely efficient decision-making and precise execution, placing heavy demands on a trader's mental resilience and intraday reaction speed, making it difficult for most to maintain a stable position over the long term. Second, short-term strategies offer limited profit margins, while incurring comparable transaction costs (such as spreads, fees, and slippage) as long-term strategies. This makes it significantly more difficult to achieve profitability than with long-term strategies, ultimately leading to a "high investment, low return" dilemma of achieving half the result with twice the effort.
To understand the risks of short-term trading, it's important to first understand the core characteristic of the foreign exchange market: the generally high degree of consolidation among major global currency pairs, a characteristic directly determined by the monetary policy objectives of central banks.
Central banks in major economies around the world (such as the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan) all prioritize currency exchange rate stability as one of their core policy objectives. Through foreign exchange market intervention (such as direct currency purchases and sales, interest rate adjustments, and the issuance of exchange rate guidance), they aim to maintain a relatively narrow exchange rate range. The core objectives of this intervention are to maintain the stability of their respective foreign trade (preventing large exchange rate fluctuations from impacting the costs of importers and exporters) and to ensure a stable financial policy environment (preventing drastic exchange rate fluctuations from triggering abnormal capital flows). Over the past two decades, with the improvement of global central bank monetary policy coordination mechanisms and the expansion of intervention tools, the fluctuation ranges of major currency pairs have further narrowed, and the formation period of long-term trends has significantly lengthened. The difficulty of trend trading has become a common phenomenon in the foreign exchange market.
In terms of actual volatility, most major currency pairs exhibit narrow fluctuations and a lack of clear direction over most time periods. Market activity is far lower than that of stocks and commodities, and some even experience stagnant volatility. This low-volatility environment is extremely unfavorable for short-term trading: the "price swings" upon which short-term profits depend are difficult to form. Even if traders frequently enter and exit the market, they struggle to capture fluctuations sufficient to cover their costs. Instead, they may be tempted to frequently stop-loss orders due to "trendless volatility," creating a vicious cycle of "more trading, more losses."
The current state of "still volatility" in the foreign exchange market, coupled with the decline in short-term traders and insufficient liquidity, has created a significant vicious cycle. This cycle stems from the increasing recognition by traders of the cost-burning nature of short-term trading.
From a market liquidity perspective, short-term traders (especially high-frequency traders) are crucial providers of market liquidity. Their frequent buying and selling narrows bid-ask spreads, improves price execution efficiency, and thus maintains market activity. However, as more and more forex traders realize the cost-burning nature of short-term trading (i.e., transaction costs exceeding profits and stop-loss orders exceeding take-profit orders), the number of those actively exiting short-term trading continues to increase, leading to a gradual decrease in market liquidity.
Reduced liquidity further exacerbates low market volatility: On the one hand, the lack of active buying and selling by short-term traders makes currency pairs more likely to trade sideways, making it difficult to generate significant fluctuations. On the other hand, insufficient liquidity increases the risk of slippage (i.e., the deviation between the actual transaction price and the expected price), further increasing the cost and risk of short-term trading and forcing more traders to exit the short-term market. Ultimately, this creates a vicious cycle of "fewer short-term traders → lower liquidity → lower market volatility → harder short-term profits → further reduction in short-term traders," plunging the foreign exchange market into a state of "still and quiet" low volatility.
This situation, in turn, reinforces the rationale of "avoiding short-term trading and opting for long-term investment": Long-term strategies do not rely on short-term liquidity and price fluctuations, but instead generate returns by capturing medium- and long-term trends (such as changes in central bank monetary policy cycles and currency strength swings caused by differences in global economic growth). This avoids the pitfalls of short-term low volatility while reducing transaction costs and stop-loss frequency, better aligning with the current operating logic of the foreign exchange market.
Taking into account the volatile nature of the forex market, the risks of short-term trading, and the current liquidity situation, long-term strategies have become the rational choice for most traders. Their core advantages are reflected in three dimensions:
Adapting to low-volatility environments: Long-term strategies focus on medium- and long-term trends rather than short-term gains. Even if short-term market fluctuations are mild, as long as the medium- and long-term trend is clear (for example, a country's continued interest rate hikes due to economic recovery drive long-term appreciation of its currency), profits can still be generated through patient holding, avoiding the short-term trap of "trendless volatility";
Reducing transaction costs and risks: Long-term trading is performed much more frequently than short-term trading, significantly reducing the accumulation of transaction costs such as spreads and fees. It also avoids frequent stop-loss orders caused by short-term random fluctuations, reducing the risk of account drawdowns;
Smoothing uncertainty: Long-term strategies absorb short-term uncertainties (such as sudden geopolitical events and short-term data fluctuations) through the time dimension. They better reflect the core driving forces of the forex market (such as macroeconomic fundamentals and monetary policy differences), making trading decisions more certain and achieving more stable returns.
Therefore, for most traders in forex trading, "choosing the long term and avoiding the short term" isn't simply a strategic preference; it's an inevitable choice based on market characteristics, probabilistic logic, and risk-return ratios. It's the core prerequisite for achieving long-term, stable profits.

In forex trading, traders must learn to accept, handle, and manage drawdowns. They are an inevitable part of the forex investment process.

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Regardless of whether the market's broad trend is upward or downward, it's impossible for a trend to continue in one direction without experiencing pullbacks. Pullbacks are an inherent characteristic of the forex market, especially in recent decades.
To maintain their trade competitiveness, central banks in major currency-issuing countries have adopted a competitive devaluation strategy. Low, zero, and even negative interest rates are commonplace. To ensure currency stability, central banks are forced to frequently intervene in exchange rates, keeping them within a relatively narrow range. This intervention mechanism exacerbates the narrow range-bound nature of foreign exchange currencies. Uninterrupted trends are extremely rare, while frequent consolidation and drawdowns are more prominent than in other trading instruments.
From a probabilistic perspective, the failure rate of long-term investments is extremely low. However, many long-term investors still suffer losses due to the drawdowns involved. These drawdowns are not only frequent but also highly complex. The twists and turns and complexities of these drawdowns make it difficult for most long-term forex investors to maintain stability and navigate them easily.
This is the truth behind the losses suffered by many long-term investors.

In the two-way trading ecosystem of the forex market, forex investment isn't just the preserve of professional institutions or high-net-worth individuals. Ordinary traders can also transform forex investment into a significant means of transforming their financial destiny through scientific trading practices and systematic capacity building.

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The core logic behind this possibility lies in the openness, flexibility, and low barriers to entry of the foreign exchange market, which provide relatively fair opportunities for wealth creation for ordinary people who lack inherent resource advantages.
To delve deeper into the forex investment path of ordinary traders, we must first clarify the core definition of "ordinary forex traders." Based on the profile of market participants, this group typically lacks unique family backgrounds (such as relatives working in the financial industry or significant initial capital), extensive industry connections (such as direct connections with institutional investors and policymakers), or exceptional professional capabilities (such as a financial engineering background or years of institutional trading experience) or intellectual advantages. Their core characteristic is "ordinary resource endowments"—with neither inherent advantages to rely on nor specific barriers to overcome, they rely more on acquired learning and practical experience to participate in market trading.
Comparing the probability of success and the cost of achieving this, the probability of ordinary traders becoming expert traders through forex investment is significantly higher than their probability of becoming industry leaders in the real economy. The core differences between the two lie in their operating models and cost structures. Forex trading is essentially a one-person operation, requiring traders to rely solely on individual decision-making, technical analysis, and risk control skills to complete a closed-loop transaction, without the need for teamwork or complex organizational structures. Industrial operations, on the other hand, generally require establishing a team (recruiting, managing, and paying staff), renting space, and purchasing equipment. These costs are high upfront and require continuous capital expenditures before profitability is achieved. Many entrepreneurs are often forced to terminate their projects before profitability is achieved due to a "broken capital chain." Furthermore, the costs of forex trading are highly controllable, primarily focusing on transaction spreads and fees, and can be further reduced by selecting a compliant platform and optimizing trading frequency. In contrast, labor costs, site rentals, and raw material procurement costs in industrial operations are fixed expenses that are almost impossible to significantly reduce through subjective control. This makes the risks and barriers to entry for industrial entrepreneurship much higher than those for forex trading.
From a market perspective and participant structure, forex investment trading is a niche market within the financial market. Its unique characteristics create differentiated opportunities for ordinary traders. In recent decades, central banks in major economies around the world have frequently implemented interest rate cuts to devalue their currencies, aiming to boost their export competitiveness. This policy, by reducing exchange costs for exporters and enhancing the international competitiveness of their products, has also led to a surge in interest rates. However, to prevent excessive currency depreciation from triggering capital flight and imported inflation, and to maintain financial system stability and macroeconomic stability, central banks have also intervened in the foreign exchange market (such as selling foreign exchange reserves and adjusting the reserve requirement ratio) to keep exchange rate fluctuations within a relatively narrow range. This "narrow range fluctuation under policy regulation" has resulted in a generally low-risk, low-return, and high-consolidation environment for major global currency pairs: the market lacks sustained market trends, and currency prices fluctuate repeatedly within a limited range, making it difficult to form significant unilateral movements. This has significantly reduced the "get-rich-quick" opportunities in foreign exchange trading.
It is precisely this market characteristic that leads participants with different capital sizes to exhibit different preferences: Funds and institutional investors with very large capital, driven by the pursuit of "scale returns," lack interest in low-volatility, low-yield markets and prefer to choose products with greater volatility and broader returns, such as stocks and commodities. Meanwhile, retail investors with smaller capital, due to their weak risk tolerance, are easily "swallowed" by short-term market fluctuations or transaction costs, making it difficult for them to survive in the market over the long term. In contrast, ordinary traders with a reasonable amount of capital have sufficient risk tolerance to withstand drawdowns within a narrow range, but do not need to pursue "scale returns." Instead, they can generate stable returns by capturing high-frequency fluctuations within a range (such as swing trading using support and resistance levels), thus gaining an advantage in the "market gap" between institutional and retail investors and creating lucrative trading opportunities.
It is worth emphasizing that the "fairness" provided by the foreign exchange market to ordinary traders is also reflected in the "equality of time resources"—despite differences in initial wealth, everyone has equal time resources available for learning and improvement. For forex traders, the key path to financial freedom isn't relying on luck, but rather on transforming your capabilities through time. As long as you're willing to invest sufficient time and energy to systematically learn the fundamentals of forex trading (such as exchange rate formation mechanisms and currency pair characteristics), professional knowledge (such as interpreting macroeconomic indicators and analyzing central bank policies), practical skills (such as applying technical analysis tools and developing trading strategies), and mindset management (such as preparing for drawdowns and managing profit expectations), and accumulate experience and lessons learned through long-term trading practice, you'll ultimately achieve a comprehensive understanding of trading knowledge, market principles, risk control, and psychological adjustment. You'll gradually develop a stable trading system and profit model, and through sustained trading gains, improve your financial situation and ultimately achieve financial freedom.

In two-way forex trading, a trader's probability of success can be extremely low. This field places extremely high demands on an investor's mental fortitude and trading skills.

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In traditional daily life, people often accept the 80/20 rule or the 90/10 rule, which states that 20% of people control 80% of the resources, or that 10% of people hold 90% of the advantage. However, in forex trading, this disparity can be even greater. Traders can operate in an extremely competitive environment, and the success ratio can be closer to a 2:98 ratio, or even a 1:99 ratio. This means that among the vast majority of traders, only a very small number ultimately achieve success.
Forex trading is a particularly demanding test of human nature. Investors face two core psychological challenges: whether they can withstand variable losses and whether they can withstand variable profits. These two psychological tests are so demanding that they are enough to eliminate 99% of forex traders. Many traders are prone to panic when faced with variable losses and greed when faced with variable profits. Both of these emotions can lead to poor decision-making. Consequently, few traders truly understand and overcome these two psychological challenges.
However, once traders can deeply understand and overcome these two psychological challenges, they have taken a crucial step towards achieving consistent profits. Through continuous practice and mental training, learning to remain calm during periods of losses and rational during periods of gains, traders can gradually improve their trading skills and find stable profit opportunities in the complex environment of the forex market. This requires not only technical advancement but also psychological maturity and fortitude.

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13711580480@139.com

+86 137 1158 0480

+86 137 1158 0480

+86 137 1158 0480

z.x.n@139.com

Mr. Z-X-N

China · Guangzhou

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